Cincinnati vs Orlando City Match Analysis - Kick Rush

Cincinnati3-4-2-17th · 20 pts

DWLDD

6–2

Full Time

Orlando City3-4-2-113th · 14 pts

WWLLL

Major League Soccer

Sat, May 23, 11:30 PM

TQL Stadium · 26,000 seats

19.7°C · moderate rain · 91% · 6.27 km/h

Home1.72

Draw4.75

Away3.90

Match Winner

Home Win

52%

BTTS

Yes

65%

Over/Under 2.5

Over 2.5

67%

Likely Score

Other_1

15%

Confidence

67%

Medium

Key Events

10'🟨

Adrián Marín

ORL

16'🎯

Martín Ojeda

ORL

32'🟨

Gerardo Valenzuela

CIN

40'🟨

Tiago

ORL

42'⚽

Kenji Mboma Dem

CIN

45+2'⚽

Evander

CIN

46'🔄

Tyrese Spicer

↔ Tiago

ORL

46'🔄

Tyrese Spicer

↔ Tiago

ORL

46'🔄

Tyrese Spicer

↔ Tiago

ORL

46'🔄

Tyrese Spicer

↔ Tiago

ORL

46'🔄

Tyrese Spicer

↔ Tiago

ORL

46'🔄

Tyrese Spicer

↔ Tiago

ORL

46'🔄

Tyrese Spicer

↔ Tiago

ORL

46'🔄

Tyrese Spicer

↔ Tiago Souza

ORL

47'🟨

Matt Miazga

CIN

48'⚽

Martín Ojeda

ORL

52'⚽

Kenji Mboma Dem

CIN

57'🔄

Marco Pašalić

↔ Justin Ellis

ORL

58'⚽

Evander

CIN

70'🟨

David Brekalo

ORL

72'🔄

Wilder Cartagena

↔ Griffin Dorsey

ORL

72'🔄

Duncan McGuire

↔ Adrián Marín

ORL

74'🔄

Tah Anunga

↔ Obinna Nwobodo

CIN

77'⚽

Kévin Denkey

CIN

83'🔄

Tom Barlow

↔ Kenji Mboma Dem

CIN

83'🔄

Ender Echenique

↔ Gerardo Valenzuela

CIN

85'🔄

Luis Otávio

↔ Braian Ojeda

ORL

90+1'⚽

Tom Barlow

CIN

90+5'🔄

Ayoub Jabbari

↔ Kévin Denkey

CIN

90+2'🔄

Nick Hagglund

↔ Samuel Gidi

CIN

Match Insights

No match facts available

Expected Goals

3.67

Cincinnati

2.26

Orlando City

Recent Form

Cincinnati

DWLDD

Position: 7

Points: 20

P 15 · W 5 · D 5 · L 5

Orlando City

WWLLL

Position: 13

Points: 14

P 15 · W 4 · D 2 · L 9

Match Info

Weather

19.7°C · moderate rain

Referee

R. Vazquez

Coaches

P. Noonan / M. Perelman

Venue

TQL Stadium

Injuries & Suspensions

Cincinnati

J. Gerbet

Knee Injury

Orlando City

K. Fletcher

Cruciate Ligament Injury

A. Powell

Leg Injury

M. Robinson

Called Up To National Team

K. Smith

Red Card Suspension

A. Chirila

Concussion

T. Hadebe

Called Up To National Team

Match Result (1X2)

Cincinnati

51.5%

Draw

22.8%

Orlando City

25.7%

Goals Over / Under

1.5

Over

85.3%

Under

14.7%

2.5

Over

66.7%

Under

33.3%

3.5

Over

45.3%

Under

54.8%

4.5

Over

29.5%

Under

70.5%

Both Teams To Score

Yes

65.4%

34.6%

Double Chance

74.3%

77.2%

48.5%

Cincinnati/Draw

Cincinnati/Orlando City

Draw/Orlando City

First Half Winner

Cincinnati

41.3%

Draw

34.9%

Orlando City

23.8%

Team to Score First

Cincinnati

55.9%

No Goal

3.7%

Orlando City

40.4%

Cincinnati Goals

0.5

Over

82.8%

Under

17.2%

1.5

Over

57.7%

Under

42.3%

2.5

Over

32.0%

Under

68.0%

3.5

Over

15.8%

Under

84.3%

Orlando City Goals

0.5

Over

64.4%

Under

35.6%

1.5

Over

35.3%

Under

64.8%

2.5

Over

14.3%

Under

85.7%

3.5

Over

4.9%

Under

95.1%

Corners Over / Under

O/U 4

95%

O/U 5

90%

O/U 6

83%

10%

O/U 7

74%

17%

O/U 8

64%

26%

O/U 9

53%

36%

Correct Score

2-1

9.5%

1-1

9.3%

2-2

7.1%

1-0

6.5%

1-2

6.3%

Half Time / Full Time

home/home

34.5%

draw/home

14.9%

away/away

13.2%

draw/draw

11.3%

draw/away

8.4%

away/draw

5.4%

home/draw

5.3%

away/home

4.3%

home/away

2.7%

Match Analysis

Cincinnati is favoured to win with 51.5% probability.

Over 2.5 goals expected (66.7% probability).

Both teams are likely to score (65.4%).

Formation

Cincinnati(3-4-2-1)

Celentano7.7

Gidi6.5

Miazga7.4

Smith6.2

Bucha7.6

Valenzuela6.6

Nwobodo6.5

Ramírez7.2

Dem8.8

Evander10.0

Denkey7.8

Orlando City(3-4-2-1)

Ojeda8.2

Tiago6.8

Ellis6.5

Angulo6.3

Atuesta7.4

Ojeda6.3

Dorsey6.7

Marín6.0

Jansson6.0

Brekalo5.8

Crépeau6.4

Player Ratings

Cincinnati

EvanderC

⚽ 2🎯 3

10.0

Kenji Mboma Dem

⚽ 2

8.8

Kévin Denkey

⚽ 1

7.8

Roman Celentano

7.7

Pavel Bucha

🎯 1

7.6

Matt Miazga

🎯 1🟨 1

7.4

Bryan Ramírez

7.2

Tom Barlow

⚽ 1

7.1

Ender Echenique

🎯 1

7.0

Gerardo Valenzuela

🟨 1

6.6

6.5

6.5

6.5

6.2

Orlando City

Martín Ojeda

⚽ 2

8.2

Eduard Atuesta

7.4

Tyrese Spicer

6.9

Tiago

🟨 1

6.8

6.7

6.7

6.6

6.5

6.4

6.4

6.3

6.3

6.3

6.0

🟨 1

6.0

David Brekalo

🟨 1

5.8

Substitutes

Cincinnati

99Ayoub Jabbari

55Ayoub Lajhar

16Tom Barlow7.1

3Gilberto Flores

27Tah Anunga6.5

13Evan Louro

4Nick Hagglund

66Ender Echenique7.0

88A. Chirilă

Orlando City

29Tahir Reid-Brown

12Javier Otero

16Wilder Cartagena6.4

19Zakaria Taifi

5Luis Otávio6.7

13Duncan McGuire6.6

14Tyrese Spicer6.9

87Marco Pašalić6.3

57Iago Teodoro

Lineups

Cincinnati3-4-2-1

18Roman Celentano7.7

11Samuel Gidi6.5

21Matt Miazga7.4

24Kyle Smith6.2

20Pavel Bucha7.6

22Gerardo Valenzuela6.6

5Obinna Nwobodo6.5

29Bryan Ramírez7.2

17Kenji Mboma Dem8.8

10EvanderC10.0

9Kévin Denkey7.8

Substitutes

99Ayoub Jabbari

55Ayoub Lajhar

16Tom Barlow7.1

3Gilberto Flores

27Tah Anunga6.5

13Evan Louro

4Nick Hagglund

66Ender Echenique7.0

88A. Chirilă

Orlando City3-4-2-1

71Maxime Crépeau6.4

4David Brekalo5.8

6Robin JanssonC6.0

3Adrián Marín6.0

24Griffin Dorsey6.7

8Braian Ojeda6.3

20Eduard Atuesta7.4

77Iván Angulo6.3

22Justin Ellis6.5

11Tiago6.8

10Martín Ojeda8.2

Substitutes

29Tahir Reid-Brown

12Javier Otero

16Wilder Cartagena6.4

19Zakaria Taifi

5Luis Otávio6.7

13Duncan McGuire6.6

14Tyrese Spicer6.9

87Marco Pašalić6.3

57Iago Teodoro

Match Statistics

Cincinnati

Orlando City

OVERVIEW

Shots Total

Shots On Target

Shots Off Target

ATTACK

Attacks

104

Dangerous Attacks

Big Chances

Shots Inside Box

Shots Outside Box

Hit Woodwork

DEFENCE

Tackles

Interceptions

Blocked Shots

Duels Won

OTHER

Corners

Fouls

Offsides

Saves

Passes

500

392

Pass Accuracy

91%

84%

Free Kicks

Throw-ins

Goal Kicks

Season Statistics

CincinnatiOrlando City

Games Played

Goals Scored

Goals/Match

Goals Conceded

Clean Sheets

BTTS%

Avg Possession

Corners/Match

Yellow Cards/Match

Cincinnati

—

Clean Sheets

—

BTTS%

—

Avg Possession

—

Corners/g

—

Yellow Cards/g

—

RECENT FORM

DWLDD

Orlando City

—

Clean Sheets

—

BTTS%

—

Avg Possession

—

Corners/g

—

Yellow Cards/g

—

RECENT FORM

WWLLL

Head-to-Head

Cincinnati

4 meetings

Orlando City

RECENT MATCHES

Cincinnati

1 - 1

Orlando City

Sep 28, 2025

Orlando City

1 - 2

Cincinnati

Jun 28, 2025

Cincinnati

1 - 3

Orlando City

Oct 5, 2024

Orlando City

0 - 1

Cincinnati

May 4, 2024

Meetings

Home Wins

Away Wins

Draws

Match Intelligence

Match Context

Cincinnati

Position9th

mid table

Rest6.9d

7d matches1

Fatigue0

Injuries1 (1.6)

Orlando City

Position11th

mid table

Rest7d

7d matches1

Fatigue0

Injuries6 (10.2)

Referee Profile

Rubiel Vazquez

United States

Penalty/red-card volatility

🟨

Yellows/G

3.89

🟥

Reds/G

0.33

⚠️

Fouls/G

20.56

⚽

Penalties/G

0.33

📊

Cards Bias

6.7

📈

Goals Bias

7.9

Injuries & Suspensions

Cincinnati

J. Gerbet

Injured

Orlando City

K. Fletcher

Injured

A. Powell

Injured

M. Robinson

Called Up To National Team

K. Smith

Suspended

A. Chirila

Concussion

T. Hadebe

Called Up To National Team

Odds Movement

Cincinnati

Draw

Orlando City

Home

1.70

Draw

4.50

Away

4.20

Current Odds

Cincinnati

1.72

Draw

4.75

Orlando City

3.90

Extended Markets

Goals Over/Under

Over 1.51.07

1.5

Under 1.59.00

Over 2.51.28

2.5

Under 2.53.60

Over 3.51.66

3.5

Under 3.52.10

Both Teams to Score

Yes2.00

No1.80

Double Chance

1X1.18

121.22

X22.10

Draw No Bet

Cincinnati1.33

Orlando City3.25

Corners (10.5)

Over2.10

Under1.66

Cards (4.5)

Over2.00

Under1.72